Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 761.320375 859.139260 968.336180 1099.945188 1255.157879 1433.483989 1655.453538
2025-03-23 620.650316 750.908591 910.084756 1121.736271 1400.113157 1760.037563 2271.228874
2025-03-30 523.781896 660.542482 837.073374 1086.699213 1439.121723 1932.648612 2702.280696
2025-04-06 456.504138 594.172180 779.533201 1054.675349 1466.023667 2081.664278 3122.421394
2025-04-13 403.500188 538.582344 726.745139 1017.379367 1473.232784 2195.520244 3506.976921
2025-04-20 380.687129 521.359397 724.276249 1051.017064 1590.402331 2499.971023 4289.863199
2025-04-27 356.079582 498.298567 709.605316 1062.256194 1671.114398 2756.847362 5058.657242
2025-05-04 335.088863 478.133942 696.450692 1073.005597 1751.010697 3026.433113 5936.377475
2025-05-11 316.028015 458.879456 682.253674 1079.328703 1822.747040 3293.994349 6900.373268
2025-05-18 305.165356 451.255516 685.588364 1115.724035 1955.745010 3713.874466 8389.965760
2025-05-25 293.179613 440.624282 682.590447 1139.855120 2068.268287 4116.525923 10014.103770
2025-06-01 279.306783 425.662889 670.621903 1145.453164 2143.302807 4451.986622 11608.821853
2025-06-08 264.017029 407.642021 652.527158 1138.813624 2195.177580 4755.920923 13308.654092
2025-06-15 253.989135 397.861013 648.279542 1159.237189 2311.940406 5261.881335 16037.410399
2025-06-22 237.100802 374.896904 617.982247 1122.900686 2290.964420 5391.916080 17448.929339
2025-06-29 222.197860 354.411707 590.599125 1089.504721 2271.586532 5522.825224 18969.334571
2025-07-06 207.919135 334.137882 562.076739 1050.644977 2232.760340 5587.944449 20265.598643
2025-07-13 203.782473 331.807102 567.441590 1085.693416 2387.428683 6299.109272 25308.875015
2025-07-20 197.204513 324.541589 562.584367 1097.406778 2483.520826 6856.977837 30193.243301
2025-07-27 191.030920 317.603141 557.772912 1108.611049 2580.706393 7457.069657 36120.881096
2025-08-03 184.801749 310.153188 551.319764 1115.202315 2666.504376 8051.785041 42924.018921
2025-08-10 182.006608 309.034716 557.656314 1153.149606 2852.739155 9121.489909 55389.466466
2025-08-17 178.114152 305.531880 558.721781 1178.317505 3006.358512 10137.043120 69894.586265